Method
My Approach
I don’t start with the dashboard. I start with the evidence.
The same sequence runs through every determination I carry out — a claim, a recovery programme, a schedule review. It moves deliberately from what can be proven to the decision it supports, and it is why the results hold when they are tested.
A complex programme-control question — a claim, a recovery, a schedule review.
Evidence → Baseline → Progress → Logic → Critical Path → Cause → Effect → Forecast → Decision.
The programme and the contemporaneous record — not the narrative.
The position the evidence actually supports.
A defensible conclusion that holds when it is tested.
Evidence
↓Start with the record — programmes, progress, correspondence, instructions. What can be shown, not what is asserted.
Baseline
↓Establish the accepted, logic-linked programme everything is measured against. If the baseline is weak, everything downstream inherits the weakness.
Progress
↓Test whether reported progress is real and measurable — planned versus actual, earned versus planned, the same way every cycle.
Logic
↓Interrogate the network — relationships, constraints, calendars. A schedule held together by hard constraints cannot react to the truth.
Critical path
↓Find the path actually driving completion, and watch how it migrates. The path the software reports is not always the one running the job.
Cause
↓Tie each event to a demonstrable cause, on the driving path, at the time it bit — cause and effect shown, not assumed.
Effect
↓Isolate the effect on completion — net of float, mitigation and the contractor’s own delay. Days that reach the milestone, not days that felt painful.
Forecast
↓Rebuild a forecast that reflects what is actually happening — honest dates leadership can plan against.
Decision
Resolve it all into the decision in front of management now: intervene, accept, escalate, or hold.
Evidence → Baseline → Progress → Logic → Critical Path → Cause → Effect → Forecast → Decision
Where it leads
The results are the method, applied.
This sequence is what let a 291-day claim resolve to an approved 64 days, and a 426-day position reduce to 91 — traced event by event, on the critical path, from evidence to decision. It is set out as a framework under Integrity-Led Project Controls, and demonstrated in the case studies and forensic delay analysis.